Rates to Begin Gradual Climb through 2010
The Fed's recent announcement that it will be tapering off its mortgage-backed securities (MBS) purchase program by the first quarter of 2010 means one thing: mortgage rates will begin a gradual rise back to around 6%.
If you are waiting to purchase or refinance, further delay may mean missing the opportunity to lock-in rates that have remained around 4-5% for much of the year. The MBS-purchase program was designed to help keep rates low, and while this announcement does not mean we'll see a sharp, sudden increase in rates, we can expect a steady climb in rates through the program's end at the beginning of next year. Meanwhile, inventories of unsold homes have fallen to their lowest levels since April 2007, as more buyers move to take advantage of the current low rates and the government's $8,000 first-time buyer tax credit. Due to this refinance boom our team is originating mortgages with all major lenders.
If you are currently debating whether to purchase or refinance a home? Call me today, and let's discuss your situation to see how can help you take immediate advantage of the opportunities that exist in today's market.
Thursday, October 1, 2009
Tuesday, September 1, 2009
Wednesday, July 1, 2009
My listing got LA Times Home of the Week
Sweeping views, grand style - Los Angeles Times
Sweeping views, grand style - Los Angeles Times
Posted using ShareThis
Sweeping views, grand style - Los Angeles Times
Posted using ShareThis
I got mentioned in the Wall Street Journal
http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052970204456604574206570543366410.html
Southland median sale price inches up for first time since ‘07
June 17, 2009
La Jolla, CA---Southern California home sales rose for the 11th consecutive month in May as sales of $500,000-plus homes started to come back. The median price paid increased slightly from the prior month for the first time since July 2007, the result of a shift in market activity where sales of deeply discounted foreclosures waned and mid- to high-end purchases rose, a real estate information service reported.
A total of 20,775 new and resale houses and condos closed escrow in San Diego, Orange, Los Angeles, Ventura, Riverside and San Bernardino counties last month. That was up 1.3 percent from 20,514 in April and up 22.8 percent from 16,917 a year ago, according to San Diego-based MDA DataQuick.
Sales have increased year-over-year for 11 consecutive months.
May’s sales were the highest for that month since May 2006, when 30,303 homes sold, but were 21.2 percent below the average May sales total since 1988, when DataQuick’s statistics begin.
Foreclosure resales – homes sold in May that had been foreclosed on in the prior 12 months – accounted for 50.2 percent of all Southland resales. That was down from 53.5 percent in April and from a peak of 56.7 percent in February. May’s figure was the lowest since foreclosure resales were 50.9 percent of all resales last October.
The remarkably sharp declines in the Southland’s median sale price over the past year have been exacerbated by a shift toward an above-average number of sales occurring in lower-cost inland markets rife with discounted foreclosures. However, the number of homes lost to foreclosure declined over the winter, leaving fewer for bargain hunters to scoop up this spring. Meantime, sales have begun to rise a bit in many mid- to high-end markets, which could be due at least in part to sellers dropping their asking prices.
Last month 83 percent of the existing Southland houses sold were purchased for less than $500,000, compared with 84.8 percent in April. Conversely, sales $500,000 and above rose from 15.2 percent of sales in April to 17 percent in May. The last time the $500,000-plus market made up more than 17 percent of all sales was last October, when they were 19.9 percent of sales.
The median price paid for all new and resale houses and condos sold in the six-county Southland last month was $249,000, up 0.8 percent from $247,000 in April but down 32.7 percent from $370,000 a year ago.
The median price hadn’t risen from one month to the next since July 2007, when it increased 0.6 percent from $502,000 to $505,000.
Last month’s median was the second-lowest for any month since it was $242,000 in February 2002, and it stood 50.7 percent below the peak $505,000 median reached in spring and summer of 2007.
“We appear to be in the early stages of the market gradually tilting back toward a more normal balance of sales across the home price spectrum. As more sellers get realistic, more buyers get off the fence and more lenders offer reasonable terms for high-end purchase financing, we’ll see a more normal share of sales in the more established, higher-cost areas that have been nearly comatose,” said John Walsh, MDA DataQuick president.
“Let’s not forget we’re into the traditional home buying season right now,” he continued, “meaning more people are purchasing for all of the normal reasons, such as a new job or to get settled before school starts. Many are concerned with finding the right home in the right area, not just the most deeply discounted home.”
Among the reasons high-end sales have been nearly frozen the past year: The “jumbo” mortgages needed to buy such homes have been more expensive and much harder to obtain since August 2007, when the credit crunch hit. Before then, nearly 40 percent of Southland sales were financed with jumbo loans, then defined as over $417,000. Last month it was only 12.0 percent, though that was up from 10.6 in April and the highest since last November, when $417,000-plus loans were used for 12.2 percent of home purchases.
At the lower end of the price spectrum, first-time buyers continue to rely heavily on government-insured FHA financing. Such loans were used to finance 38.4 percent of all Southland home purchases last month, down slightly from 38.9 percent in April but up from 19.7 percent a year ago. In the Inland Empire, more than half of all May home purchases were financed with FHA loans.
Absentee buyers, including investors who will have their property tax bills sent to a different address, bought 19.4 percent of the Southland homes sold last month. That’s up from 16.9 percent a year ago and 18.6 percent in April. The monthly average since 2000: 15 percent.
MDA DataQuick is a division of MDA Lending Solutions, a subsidiary of Vancouver-based MacDonald Dettwiler and Associates. MDA DataQuick monitors real estate activity nationwide and provides information to consumers, educational institutions, public agencies, lending institutions, title companies and industry analysts.
The typical monthly mortgage payment that Southern California buyers committed themselves to paying was $1,052 last month, up from $1,038 the previous month, and down from $1,782 a year ago. Adjusted for inflation, current payments are 52.1 percent below typical payments in the spring of 1989, the peak of the prior real estate cycle. They are 60.7 percent below the current cycle's peak in July 2007.
Indicators of market distress continue to move in different directions. Foreclosure activity remains near record levels, while financing with adjustable-rate mortgages is near the all-time low, as is financing with multiple mortgages. Down payment sizes and flipping rates are stable. Non-owner occupied buying has risen and is above-average in some markets, MDA DataQuick reported.
June 17, 2009
La Jolla, CA---Southern California home sales rose for the 11th consecutive month in May as sales of $500,000-plus homes started to come back. The median price paid increased slightly from the prior month for the first time since July 2007, the result of a shift in market activity where sales of deeply discounted foreclosures waned and mid- to high-end purchases rose, a real estate information service reported.
A total of 20,775 new and resale houses and condos closed escrow in San Diego, Orange, Los Angeles, Ventura, Riverside and San Bernardino counties last month. That was up 1.3 percent from 20,514 in April and up 22.8 percent from 16,917 a year ago, according to San Diego-based MDA DataQuick.
Sales have increased year-over-year for 11 consecutive months.
May’s sales were the highest for that month since May 2006, when 30,303 homes sold, but were 21.2 percent below the average May sales total since 1988, when DataQuick’s statistics begin.
Foreclosure resales – homes sold in May that had been foreclosed on in the prior 12 months – accounted for 50.2 percent of all Southland resales. That was down from 53.5 percent in April and from a peak of 56.7 percent in February. May’s figure was the lowest since foreclosure resales were 50.9 percent of all resales last October.
The remarkably sharp declines in the Southland’s median sale price over the past year have been exacerbated by a shift toward an above-average number of sales occurring in lower-cost inland markets rife with discounted foreclosures. However, the number of homes lost to foreclosure declined over the winter, leaving fewer for bargain hunters to scoop up this spring. Meantime, sales have begun to rise a bit in many mid- to high-end markets, which could be due at least in part to sellers dropping their asking prices.
Last month 83 percent of the existing Southland houses sold were purchased for less than $500,000, compared with 84.8 percent in April. Conversely, sales $500,000 and above rose from 15.2 percent of sales in April to 17 percent in May. The last time the $500,000-plus market made up more than 17 percent of all sales was last October, when they were 19.9 percent of sales.
The median price paid for all new and resale houses and condos sold in the six-county Southland last month was $249,000, up 0.8 percent from $247,000 in April but down 32.7 percent from $370,000 a year ago.
The median price hadn’t risen from one month to the next since July 2007, when it increased 0.6 percent from $502,000 to $505,000.
Last month’s median was the second-lowest for any month since it was $242,000 in February 2002, and it stood 50.7 percent below the peak $505,000 median reached in spring and summer of 2007.
“We appear to be in the early stages of the market gradually tilting back toward a more normal balance of sales across the home price spectrum. As more sellers get realistic, more buyers get off the fence and more lenders offer reasonable terms for high-end purchase financing, we’ll see a more normal share of sales in the more established, higher-cost areas that have been nearly comatose,” said John Walsh, MDA DataQuick president.
“Let’s not forget we’re into the traditional home buying season right now,” he continued, “meaning more people are purchasing for all of the normal reasons, such as a new job or to get settled before school starts. Many are concerned with finding the right home in the right area, not just the most deeply discounted home.”
Among the reasons high-end sales have been nearly frozen the past year: The “jumbo” mortgages needed to buy such homes have been more expensive and much harder to obtain since August 2007, when the credit crunch hit. Before then, nearly 40 percent of Southland sales were financed with jumbo loans, then defined as over $417,000. Last month it was only 12.0 percent, though that was up from 10.6 in April and the highest since last November, when $417,000-plus loans were used for 12.2 percent of home purchases.
At the lower end of the price spectrum, first-time buyers continue to rely heavily on government-insured FHA financing. Such loans were used to finance 38.4 percent of all Southland home purchases last month, down slightly from 38.9 percent in April but up from 19.7 percent a year ago. In the Inland Empire, more than half of all May home purchases were financed with FHA loans.
Absentee buyers, including investors who will have their property tax bills sent to a different address, bought 19.4 percent of the Southland homes sold last month. That’s up from 16.9 percent a year ago and 18.6 percent in April. The monthly average since 2000: 15 percent.
MDA DataQuick is a division of MDA Lending Solutions, a subsidiary of Vancouver-based MacDonald Dettwiler and Associates. MDA DataQuick monitors real estate activity nationwide and provides information to consumers, educational institutions, public agencies, lending institutions, title companies and industry analysts.
The typical monthly mortgage payment that Southern California buyers committed themselves to paying was $1,052 last month, up from $1,038 the previous month, and down from $1,782 a year ago. Adjusted for inflation, current payments are 52.1 percent below typical payments in the spring of 1989, the peak of the prior real estate cycle. They are 60.7 percent below the current cycle's peak in July 2007.
Indicators of market distress continue to move in different directions. Foreclosure activity remains near record levels, while financing with adjustable-rate mortgages is near the all-time low, as is financing with multiple mortgages. Down payment sizes and flipping rates are stable. Non-owner occupied buying has risen and is above-average in some markets, MDA DataQuick reported.
Sunday, April 19, 2009
1754 Sunset Plaza Drive. The uncomparable Hollywood Hills Estate
Amazing new Estate By Richard Tuil. www.1754sunsetplaza.com
Set behind gates in the most vibrant of LA’s celebrity neighborhoods modern architectural lines seem to blend seamlessly with old world craftsmanship. This newly constructed Hollywood Hills view estate defies classification and is beyond compare.
In creating his own residence, renowned celebrity designer and architect Richard Tuil has realized a masterpiece and perhaps defined a new genre of fusion architecture. Entering though the glass rotunda and descending in to the grand ballroom is nothing less than thrilling experience. A massive glass wall perfectly frames views of the city below and with the touch of a button… this ballroom transforms into a full size theatre with seating for 18. Each vantage seems more artful than the next, the craftsmanship and attention to detail are astounding.
The master suite begins with a romantic and intimate boudoir with rich wood paneled walls warmed by a fireplace. Open a hidden door to the bedroom and the scene turns sexy. Slide away the 20-foot glass walls to reveal a cascading infinity spa and 100’ long pool that melt into the horizon. This suite contains two lavish baths both with city views one, with its limestone vaults, is an astonishing work of art.
Dazzling city light and ocean views serve as the backdrop for luxurious and grand outdoor living space thoughtfully served by a 2nd chef’s kitchen. Refresh at the swim up pool bar or simply relax in the elegant roman spa.
As if refusing to be ordinary the living room and dining room are graced by turquoise waters from an additional swimming pool. A triumph in engineering this estate is unforgettable, exciting, and undeniably cool just like the neighborhood it presides over. 6 bedrooms 12 baths, call for pricing information
Friday, February 27, 2009
Buyers and Investors; Now is the time.
An Opportunity of a Lifetime
Warren Buffet says, "A simple rule dictates my buying: Be fearful when others are greedy, and be greedy when others are fearful." While Mr. Buffet was writing about buying stocks, the same can be said for housing today.
Housing issues have permeated the economy both locally and nationally. This week, one index that tracks housing prices, S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Indices, indicated home values fell the most since 1968, declining 18.5% in December from the year before.
Looked at from a different perspective, this means home prices have fallen to levels not seen in six to twelve years, depending on individual markets. Following the Case-Schiller report was the report from the National Association of Realtors (NAR) recently. The NAR reported that home prices for the month of January fell by 14.8%.
The bright spot though in contrast was that the number of homes sold in December increased. Home buyers from coast-to-coast have been buying distressed properties at the rate of 45% of total sales.
Recognizing that now is the time to buy, everyone – from those looking to purchase their first home to seasoned real estate investors – are buying homes today. Bruce Norris, the head of an investment group in Southern California, expects to buy at least 100 homes this year as, "This is the buying opportunity of our lifetime."
Fundamentals Point to Strength
The basic fundamentals of the housing market point to higher prices ahead. Almost half of the properties being sold today are existing homes that are either owned by banks or homes on which banks are accepting short sales, allowing them to be sold for less than what is owed.
New homes or homes under construction are near all-time lows. The country's demographics point to more potential buyers coming into the housing market than projected inventory in coming years. This all points to higher prices on the horizon as demand will be greater than supply. This is supported by the fact that the inventory of unsold homes fell 2.7% in January.
Why Buy Now?
Three very important reasons to buy now are:
1.Interest rates are at all time lows;
2.Home prices have declined to levels not seen in years; Many condo's and a few homes are being sold for less than replacement value. Think about that!
Lower Prices Don't Always Equate to Lower Payments
One final point to consider. Even if you believe that home prices will continue to decline, it's very difficult to believe that interest rates will remain at these low levels.
Did you know that even if home prices were to decline 10% but also during that time, interest rates available for home loans were to increase by 1.00%, your monthly principal and interest payment would actually be higher? It's true. So, if you are thinking of buying or the end of your lease is near, get busy and get in the game. To quote Mr. Buffet again, "If you wait for the robins, spring will be over."
Call me and we can discuss the best options for you today.
Warren Buffet says, "A simple rule dictates my buying: Be fearful when others are greedy, and be greedy when others are fearful." While Mr. Buffet was writing about buying stocks, the same can be said for housing today.
Housing issues have permeated the economy both locally and nationally. This week, one index that tracks housing prices, S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Indices, indicated home values fell the most since 1968, declining 18.5% in December from the year before.
Looked at from a different perspective, this means home prices have fallen to levels not seen in six to twelve years, depending on individual markets. Following the Case-Schiller report was the report from the National Association of Realtors (NAR) recently. The NAR reported that home prices for the month of January fell by 14.8%.
The bright spot though in contrast was that the number of homes sold in December increased. Home buyers from coast-to-coast have been buying distressed properties at the rate of 45% of total sales.
Recognizing that now is the time to buy, everyone – from those looking to purchase their first home to seasoned real estate investors – are buying homes today. Bruce Norris, the head of an investment group in Southern California, expects to buy at least 100 homes this year as, "This is the buying opportunity of our lifetime."
Fundamentals Point to Strength
The basic fundamentals of the housing market point to higher prices ahead. Almost half of the properties being sold today are existing homes that are either owned by banks or homes on which banks are accepting short sales, allowing them to be sold for less than what is owed.
New homes or homes under construction are near all-time lows. The country's demographics point to more potential buyers coming into the housing market than projected inventory in coming years. This all points to higher prices on the horizon as demand will be greater than supply. This is supported by the fact that the inventory of unsold homes fell 2.7% in January.
Why Buy Now?
Three very important reasons to buy now are:
1.Interest rates are at all time lows;
2.Home prices have declined to levels not seen in years; Many condo's and a few homes are being sold for less than replacement value. Think about that!
Lower Prices Don't Always Equate to Lower Payments
One final point to consider. Even if you believe that home prices will continue to decline, it's very difficult to believe that interest rates will remain at these low levels.
Did you know that even if home prices were to decline 10% but also during that time, interest rates available for home loans were to increase by 1.00%, your monthly principal and interest payment would actually be higher? It's true. So, if you are thinking of buying or the end of your lease is near, get busy and get in the game. To quote Mr. Buffet again, "If you wait for the robins, spring will be over."
Call me and we can discuss the best options for you today.
Thursday, January 29, 2009
Hollywood Hills Price Trends over the last 8 Years
The above chart shows the change in the average price per square foot paid for homes in the Hollywood Hills over the last few years.
You can see how quickly prices were driven up. In fact prices more than DOUBLED IN FIVE YEARS! This growth was due to seemingly limitless mortgage financing that allowed anyone and everyone to be a buyer. Today that financing is gone, those buyers are gone, and that demand is gone. What and we are now left with is expensive real estate with few able and/or willing buyers. The market has ground to a halt. For this reason many predict, myself included, that prices will fall back to late 2003 or early 2004 levels. Many pockets and many homes have already hit this level and sold for those prices-Mostly bank owned or short sales. This is what has already happened in most other parts of the country that are now hitting the bottom. Our bubble burst late and price corrections are in full swing as of now. Please discuss
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